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COVID analytical update for Wednesday, April 29

Declines in WA, FL, NY, CA, SC – increases in VA, PA, NC

The great recovery continues. The numbers show that the worst is well behind us, and those infected are recovering at a faster rate than new people are contracting the disease.

As always, feel free to send me your questions about my assumptions, methodology, or modeling in general.

  • Likely date of active case peak (Chalke modeling): April 10
  • Likely date of peak deaths (IHME): April 15 (last revision on April 28)
  • Short term projection for tomorrow: 1,059,000
  • Total Test Results reported today: 230,442
  • Total Pending tests reported today: 4,832 (very low)
  • National reported case Growth Rate today: 2.7% (very low)

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